Niort vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
NIO
46%
29%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 1
NÎM
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
STL
3 - 1
NIO
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
NIO
3 - 3
GUI
31%
30%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 0
NIO
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
ESW
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
TFC
4 - 1
AJA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 0
CSL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 0
AJA
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 0
LUS
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |