Niort vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1998 |
VAL
2 - 0
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 1
FCG
44%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIO
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
NIO
0 - 0
STL
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
RED
2 - 0
NIO
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 3
GUI
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
AJA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
ESW
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
SED
3 - 0
AJA
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 0
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |