Chambray FC vs USM Saran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
14º
10º
32
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chambray FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
CSL
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
48%
22%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TOU
3 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
3%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 0
SAR
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 3
TOU
8%
18%
75%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ORL
3 - 0
SAR
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
SAR
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |