Chambly vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
7º
3º
34
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chambly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAI
3 - 0
CHA
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCR
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
ASB
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POI
0 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
BLO
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 1
VOL
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
STP
2 - 0
GUI
57%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
GRA
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
FCR
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |