Chamalières vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
12º
8º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamalières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
LIM
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SEY
2 - 0
CHA
13%
18%
70%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
HAL
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
THO
1 - 0
HAL
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 2
THO
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
THO
2 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 1
THO
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
THO
4 - 2
SAE
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |