Chamalières vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
15º
7º
36
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 81.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamalières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAN
3 - 1
CHA
37%
29%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
ANG
35%
28%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 0
CHA
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LES
1 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
ANG
32%
28%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
SAU
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 1
LOR
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
ROM
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 5
LOR
27%
27%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
FCR
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |