Challans vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
63%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
LPS
17%
23%
60%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 3
STP
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 2
TOU
22%
21%
56%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 2
SAI
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BER
2 - 2
CHO
44%
28%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 1
NAN
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |