Challans vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
81.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
USS
0 - 2
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
SNA
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LAS
0 - 2
CHA
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
4 - 2
LAV
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
GAZ
0 - 1
NIO
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
NIO
0 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
NIO
6%
15%
79%
|
63 | 25 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
AUX
0 - 0
NIO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |