Challans vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 0
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
USS
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LPS
0 - 0
CHA
80%
15%
6%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
CHA
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
BRE
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 1
STP
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 4
BOU
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 0
ANG
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 3
BOU
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 3
CHA
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |