Challans vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
10º
8º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NIO
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
ASC
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LSD
0 - 1
CHA
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAN
19%
24%
58%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
LAV
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
SNA
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
ACG
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
USS
2 - 2
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
LAV
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |