Chalfont St Peter vs Harefield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 1
CHA
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
HOL
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LML
3 - 0
CHA
84%
11%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CLE
2 - 1
CHA
61%
21%
19%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
BAS
9%
16%
75%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
HFC
1 - 2
HAR
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MEF
2 - 1
HAR
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
WIN
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
HAR
9%
14%
76%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
LOR
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |