Chalfont St Peter vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASH
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
OXH
0 - 1
CHA
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 2
STA
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
0 - 1
CHA
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 2
UXB
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 3
SWI
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 0
LYM
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 0
LEA
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 0
TAU
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 0
YAT
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |