FA Trophy 1/512
Global 2-1
Chalfont St Peter vs AFC Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 6
POT
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STI
1 - 1
CHA
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KET
0 - 1
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
RUG
21%
22%
56%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
HUN
20%
25%
55%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +4 |
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AFH
2 - 2
NOR
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
LEI
4 - 1
AFH
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AYL
0 - 1
AFH
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AFH
2 - 0
DAV
16%
22%
63%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +4 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
AFH
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |