Chadderton vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chadderton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
IRL
54%
20%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALI
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 1
CHA
28%
22%
51%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SQU
2 - 4
CHA
28%
20%
52%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
6 - 1
BAR
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAD
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LTO
2 - 3
PAD
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 1
CHE
70%
16%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IRL
1 - 2
PAD
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
GLO
4 - 3
PAD
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |