Chaco For Ever vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaco For Ever
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
CFE
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 1
SAR
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CFE
2 - 3
SOL
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 0
CFE
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CFE
2 - 0
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 1
SPA
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 3
GAF
14%
27%
59%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
SOL
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 0
CFE
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAF
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |