Chaco For Ever vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaco For Ever
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CDN
5 - 3
CFE
36%
26%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CFE
1 - 1
BUC
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
TEX
2 - 3
CFE
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CFE
1 - 1
CAC
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SOL
1 - 0
CFE
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BUC
6 - 2
GAF
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
GAF
2 - 0
CAC
84%
12%
5%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 1
GAF
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
GAF
1 - 0
CDN
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
TEX
2 - 2
GAF
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |