Chabab Benguerir vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
12º
10º
36
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chabab Benguerir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ODC
0 - 0
CBG
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
CBG
0 - 0
STM
28%
30%
42%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CBG
0 - 1
OCK
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 1
CBG
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CBG
0 - 0
RAJ
31%
30%
40%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
USM
2 - 1
WYD
54%
27%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
0 - 0
USM
41%
27%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
USM
0 - 0
JSM
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
MOU
0 - 0
USM
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
OCK
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |