Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
39.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
14º
9º
36
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
USM
2 - 2
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
STM
1 - 1
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
WYD
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CBG
2 - 1
CHA
38%
31%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
0 - 0
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
USM
2 - 2
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
USM
3 - 2
ODC
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
KAC
0 - 0
USM
25%
28%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
STM
2 - 0
USM
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CBG
1 - 1
USM
29%
31%
40%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |