Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
9º
49
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
70.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ITM
1 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MEK
0 - 1
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
ROZ
25%
28%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ODC
0 - 2
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 4
CBG
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
ROZ
23%
28%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
USM
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
RAC
40%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KAW
3 - 0
USM
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ITT
0 - 0
USM
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |