Chã Grande vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
74.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 0
CHA
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PES
1 - 1
CHA
40%
24%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
OFC
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
OFC
1 - 0
CHA
46%
23%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
PES
2 - 3
CHA
40%
24%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SCI
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |