Universidade vs C.D. Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 1
UNI
71%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
MAR
60%
20%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 2
UNI
48%
22%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
TOR
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
UNI
75%
16%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 6
COC
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
REL
4 - 1
SAR
40%
23%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 2
UNI
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 2
SAR
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 4
SCD
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |