Universidade vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
ESP
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REL
1 - 0
UNI
30%
23%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
COR
35%
23%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
CRI
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
CRI
21%
22%
57%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SCD
3 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 4
COC
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GAL
2 - 2
CAS
61%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 2
MAR
44%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |