CFS El Progreso U19 vs Unión Archena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
10º
18º
13º
34
5º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
6º
|
80.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFS El Progreso U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FUT
2 - 0
PRO
59%
20%
22%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PRO
3 - 1
CIE
18%
18%
63%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PIN
8 - 0
PRO
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
4 - 1
PRO
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 3
EFT
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Archena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 1
CLU
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
EDM
2 - 0
ARC
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 1
LOR
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
2 - 1
UCA
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REA
3 - 0
ARC
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |