CFS El Progreso U19 vs ADM Lorquí U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
10º
18º
13º
69
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
6º
|
80.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFS El Progreso U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
EFM
1 - 0
PRO
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 2
VDF
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CDM
4 - 2
PRO
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 2
PRO
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 1
EDM
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ADM Lorquí U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ADM
4 - 2
CLU
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EDM
0 - 2
ADM
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 2
LOR
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 1
ADM
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 1
REA
30%
23%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |