Maricá vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
CMA
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
2 - 2
CMA
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CMA
2 - 0
MAD
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
CMA
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 3
CMA
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
PER
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
GOY
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
PER
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
CMA
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
NCI
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |