Rio Cup Final

Global 2-2

Maricá vs Pérolas Negras analysis

Maricá Pérolas Negras
51 ELO 47
-14.8% Tilt -9.9%
3211º General ELO ranking 6921º
91º Country ELO ranking 295º
ELO win probability
49.5%
Maricá
23.9%
Draw
26.6%
Pérolas Negras

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
Maricá
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
Pérolas Negras
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maricá
+55%
+7%
Pérolas Negras

ELO progression

Maricá
Pérolas Negras
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maricá
Maricá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
1 - 1
Maricá
CMA
30%
24%
46%
51 47 4 0
20 Oct. 2021
MAD
Madureira RJ
2 - 2
Maricá
CMA
33%
25%
42%
51 49 2 0
16 Oct. 2021
CMA
Maricá
2 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
38%
25%
38%
50 50 0 +1
15 Sep. 2021
SAM
Sampaio Correa
1 - 0
Maricá
CMA
73%
17%
10%
50 71 21 0
01 Sep. 2021
CAB
Cabofriense
1 - 3
Maricá
CMA
31%
23%
46%
50 44 6 0

Matches

Pérolas Negras
Pérolas Negras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2021
SER
Serra Macaense
0 - 0
Pérolas Negras
PER
24%
22%
54%
47 38 9 0
03 Nov. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
3 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
56%
23%
21%
46 39 7 +1
30 Oct. 2021
OLA
Olaria
1 - 0
Pérolas Negras
PER
22%
23%
55%
47 38 9 -1
28 Oct. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
1 - 1
Maricá
CMA
30%
24%
46%
47 51 4 0
23 Oct. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
1 - 0
Nova Cidade
NCI
64%
21%
15%
47 34 13 0