UCL Qualifying Play Offs Final
Global 3-1
CFR Cluj vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFR Cluj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
3 - 2
CLU
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
CLU
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
CLU
2 - 2
CSM
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 2
CLU
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 2
CLU
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
CLU
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAU
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
MFK
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |