UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-2
CFR Cluj vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFR Cluj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 1
CSM
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
AST
1 - 0
CLU
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
CLU
0 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
CLU
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 0
MBO
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
AST
1 - 0
CLU
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
TOB
0 - 2
AST
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AST
0 - 2
KAI
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ORD
3 - 2
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
AST
4 - 1
KAI
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |