Cfba Caravaca vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
CFB
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 0
POL
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ROQ
1 - 0
CFB
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 0
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 0
CFB
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
POL
0 - 0
RJA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
PUE
42%
29%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SRQ
2 - 0
RJA
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
RJA
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
LOR
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |