Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 3-2
Cfba Caravaca vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
CFB
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
YEC
0 - 0
CFB
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 1
ALM
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 1
CFB
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 0
CFB
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
JER
1 - 0
UDS
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ASJ
1 - 2
JER
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
JER
0 - 1
ARR
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SRO
2 - 2
JER
30%
26%
45%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |