CF Villanovense vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 0
GIM
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 1
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
VIL
9%
20%
72%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 0
PUE
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
VIL
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
RJA
2 - 3
ALA
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
RJA
72%
20%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 1
PON
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 0
RJA
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
REC
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |