Valseca vs El Espinar Arlequin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
32.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valseca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SMM
3 - 4
VAL
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 3
ATC
48%
21%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 3
VAL
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 4
UNI
21%
20%
59%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 3
VAL
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
El Espinar Arlequin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
ESA
31%
21%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
7 - 2
ESA
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ESA
1 - 1
MAT
31%
21%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NOL
2 - 3
ESA
16%
18%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ESA
3 - 2
CAB
65%
17%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |