Valseca vs Bernardos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valseca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 4
VAL
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
VAL
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
VAL
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 9
ATL
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COC
1 - 2
VAL
66%
19%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bernardos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BER
2 - 0
CAN
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
BER
53%
22%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BER
3 - 2
COC
32%
23%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATC
2 - 2
BER
51%
22%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
GIM
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |