Tous vs UD Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UEG
2 - 1
TOU
51%
24%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TOU
0 - 2
DEN
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 5
TOU
8%
16%
76%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TOU
3 - 2
UDC
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 1
TOU
48%
25%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UDC
1 - 0
TAV
60%
23%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
UDC
22%
24%
53%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
UDC
1 - 1
JAV
53%
24%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ATZ
0 - 1
UDC
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 0
LAL
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |