Tous vs Balompié Alfafar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SIL
3 - 1
TOU
40%
24%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
TOU
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 2
ALM
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 4
TOU
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
UBF
57%
21%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Balompié Alfafar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
VAL
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
BAL
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UBF
0 - 3
BAL
63%
20%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 1
CIU
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |