Tous vs Ayorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ANN
5 - 0
TOU
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 2
AIE
47%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 1
TOU
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 0
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CXA
0 - 1
TOU
20%
20%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ayorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
AYO
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AYO
4 - 1
ANN
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AIE
1 - 0
AYO
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AYO
5 - 2
NAV
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 6
AYO
13%
18%
70%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |