Tous vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 7
TOU
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
TOU
21%
20%
60%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
8 - 0
SEN
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
5 - 2
SPO
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
POB
1 - 1
TOU
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
SEN
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MON
6 - 3
POB
65%
19%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
UDC
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LOL
0 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |