Tous vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
TOU
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOU
4 - 0
LAL
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
TOU
4 - 1
ENG
58%
20%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LOL
0 - 2
TOU
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
TOU
2 - 1
MUR
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CTS
1 - 0
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
UDC
3 - 2
CTS
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
UEG
1 - 3
CTS
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CTS
1 - 1
TAV
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 0
CTS
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |