Tirig vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
57.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
4 - 0
TIR
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 0
CLU
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 1
TIR
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 6
TRR
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
TIR
0 - 1
SAL
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
4 - 2
ATZ
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
4 - 2
CIN
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
5 - 2
ESP
30%
21%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 3
CAL
16%
18%
67%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
TRR
2 - 0
CIN
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |