Tirig vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
62%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
TIR
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TIR
1 - 1
BEN
15%
18%
66%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
TIR
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TIR
3 - 4
PEN
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 2
TIR
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 1
ATZ
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
CIN
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CIN
5 - 0
CLU
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CIN
3 - 1
CLU
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIN
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |