Tirig vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
74%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 1
ATZ
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
TIR
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 3
BOR
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 0
TIR
66%
18%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 4
CHE
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 2
BEN
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
4 - 0
CAL
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
CIN
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 1
CAL
31%
20%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 1
VIL
70%
16%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |