Tirig vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
80.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CLU
1 - 2
TIR
55%
21%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 3
VIL
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 2
BEN
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TRR
3 - 0
TIR
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 2
TIR
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ATZ
1 - 6
CAL
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 1
CAL
23%
20%
58%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
CIN
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 4
CAL
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CLU
2 - 4
CAL
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |