CF Talavera vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Talavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TAL
2 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
JUM
1 - 0
TAL
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 1
FUE
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
DBN
0 - 1
TAL
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TAL
2 - 2
SAL
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 0
LIN
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
POZ
3 - 2
RJA
15%
23%
61%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BEG
1 - 8
RJA
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
RJA
74%
18%
9%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
RJA
2 - 4
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |