CF Talavera vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Talavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SSR
0 - 0
TAL
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 0
CDM
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GET
1 - 4
TAL
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NUM
3 - 1
PAS
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ADL
0 - 2
NUM
12%
23%
65%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NUM
1 - 2
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 3
NUM
14%
24%
62%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEG
2 - 0
NUM
24%
28%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |