S. Fulgencio vs H. Nieves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
MON
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 4
MON
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAH
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BIG
2 - 1
SPO
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 0
HON
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HON
2 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 1
HON
29%
24%
47%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HON
1 - 0
CAL
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 5
HON
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |