Rafal vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 4
RAF
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PIN
2 - 3
RAF
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 2
MON
33%
23%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 4
RAF
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 3
ALG
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
UDF
1 - 1
ELD
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UDF
6 - 2
UEC
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 0
UDF
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 1
UDF
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 0
PIN
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |