Rafal vs UD La Coca Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPD
2 - 2
RAF
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 1
ELD
18%
18%
64%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 2
MON
19%
19%
63%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
RAF
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 1
CDC
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Coca Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 4
MON
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
UDL
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
3 - 1
ALG
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
4 - 0
UDL
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 3
RAC
37%
21%
42%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |