Rafal vs Sporting Dolores analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+888%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ELD
1 - 2
RAF
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
RAF
68%
19%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 0
ALG
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 0
RAF
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Dolores
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SPD
3 - 1
MON
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
SPD
84%
12%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 0
SPD
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SPD
1 - 1
RAC
31%
23%
47%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GUS
5 - 1
SPD
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |