Rafal vs S. Guardamar CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
0 - 0
RAF
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 0
CAL
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDC
0 - 3
RAF
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DOL
2 - 1
RAF
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RAF
3 - 2
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
S. Guardamar CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SGU
0 - 0
HON
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 0
SGU
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SGU
1 - 0
SPO
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SGU
3 - 2
MON
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
INT
4 - 3
SGU
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |