Rafal vs Racing San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+205%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
RAF
24%
23%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 1
PIN
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
RAF
56%
23%
22%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
RAF
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
TOR
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 2
ALG
45%
25%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CFP
3 - 3
RAC
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 2
RAC
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 0
PIN
49%
24%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
6 - 0
RAC
64%
21%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |