Rafal vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RAF
0 - 1
RAC
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
5 - 2
RAF
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
DOL
0 - 1
RAF
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RAF
2 - 3
BFL
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
HON
3 - 0
RAF
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MON
0 - 3
SPO
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 1
MON
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MON
0 - 4
ATH
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
5 - 0
MON
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BAH
8 - 0
MON
83%
11%
5%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |